France Women vs Germany Women: prediction & betting odds 19 July 2025

The Women's Euro 2025 quarter-final match between France and Germany will take place on July 19 at St. Jakob-Park in Basel. France vs. Germany: prediction and betting odds, Euro 2025 match statistics.

France Women's National Team

The team advanced to the playoffs from the top spot in Group D. Laurent Bonadei's squad won all three matches with an impressive goal difference of 11:4. Among all the tournament participants, only Spain scored more goals (14). The French have reached the quarter-finals of the European Championship for the fifth consecutive time, with their best achievement being the semi-finals in the last edition, where they lost to Germany (1-2).

Forward Marie-Antoinette Katoto is the team's top scorer at Euro 2025 (2 goals, 1 assist).

  • The French have not lost in 7 of their last 8 European Championship matches (6 wins, 1 draw).
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 matches for France in this tournament.
  • At least one goal was scored in both halves in 5 of France's last 6 European Championship matches.

Predicted lineup for France Women's National Team (4-3-3)

Pauline Peyraud-Magnin – Elisa De Almeida, Alice Sombath, Tinira Samura, Selma Bacha – Sakina Karchaoui, Sandie Toletti, Oriane Jean-Francois – Delphine Cascarino, Marie-Antoinette Katoto, Sandy Baltimore.

Germany Women's National Team

The team finished second in Group C, securing two victories and losing to group leaders Sweden. Notably, Germany was the only team in the tournament to finish the group stage with an equal number of goals scored and conceded (5:5). Germany has won the tournament 8 times, including a streak of 6 consecutive titles. In the previous Euro, the team reached the final, losing to England in extra time.

Midfielder Jule Brand is among the top scorers of the tournament (2 goals, 2 assists).

  • The Germans have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 European Championship matches.
  • The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament (8 wins, 1 draw).
  • In 9 of their last 10 European Championship matches, Germany has not conceded more than one goal in regular time.

Predicted lineup for Germany Women's National Team (4-5-1)

Ann-Katrin Berger – Sarai Linder, Carlotta Wamser, Rebecca Knaak, Janina Minge – Elisa Sens, Shke Nüsken, Klara Bühl, Jule Brand, Laura Freigang – Lea Schüller.

Midfielder Carlotta Wamser will miss the match due to suspension.

Referee

Tess Olofsson (Sweden)

Matches – 5 (International matches, 2022–2025);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 10;

Average yellow cards per match – 2;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 18;

Penalties – 20%.

France vs. Germany: Match Prediction

The French displayed impressive attacking play during the group stage, ranking among the top three most prolific teams and scoring 11 goals in the Euros for the first time in their history. Moreover, France has scored in all 9 official matches in 2025. However, Laurent Bonadei's side did not keep a clean sheet in their group, conceding even to Wales, one of the tournament's least prolific teams alongside Portugal.

The Germans scored only 5 goals, but Christian Wück's squad demonstrated an attacking mindset in every match. They took over 50 shots in total against Denmark and Poland, and reaching double digits in shots against Sweden was hampered by a first-half red card. Defensively, Germany lacked reliability: among all the teams reaching the playoffs, they, alongside Norway, had the worst defensive record (5 goals conceded).

My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals

France Women — Germany Women betting tips 19 July 2025

The final place in the UEFA Women's Euro 2025 semi-finals will be decided between Germany, runners-up in 2022, and France, who were eliminated by the Germans at the same stage last time out.

In the group phase, two of France's three opponents suffered heavy defeats, each conceding at least four goals — namely Wales and the Netherlands. Only England fared slightly better, conceding two, though they still finished pointless. Even that key fixture resulted in a match with more than two goals in total, as France conceded in every group game.

Germany did not register any dominant wins. In fact, they were on the wrong end of a 1:4 defeat against Sweden. That result meant six of their last eight matches have ended with a margin of three goals or more — the rest were comfortable wins for Germany. All of those games also featured a Total Over 2.5 goals, including their group stage match against Denmark (2:1).

So, are we about to see France — currently ranked seven places lower — suffer a heavy defeat? Not necessarily. There's still no clear favourite between these two sides. What does seem more likely is a high-scoring encounter. Each of their last three meetings ended 2:1. Germany hold a 2:1 advantage in the head-to-head record, but are not a reliable pick at the moment. The more prudent bet lies in the total goals market.

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
73/100
Bet now

France Women vs Germany Women Odds

Women Euro: previous matches in the tournament

France Women
13.07.25
Netherlands Women
France Women
W
09.07.25
France Women
Wales Women
W
05.07.25
France Women
England Women
W
More matches
Germany Women
12.07.25
Sweden Women
Germany Women
L
08.07.25
Germany Women
Denmark Women
W
04.07.25
Germany Women
Poland Women
W
More matches

H2H: France Women — Germany Women

Nations League 2024-2025
15.07.25
France Women
Germany Women
2
:
1
UEFA Women's Championship 2022
27.07.22
Germany Women
France Women
Women's World Cup 2015
26.06.15
Germany Women
France Women
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
5
:
4
P
Women's World Cup 2011
05.07.11
France Women
Germany Women
2
:
4

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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